ALEXANDER GUSTAFSSON VS. ANTHONY SMITH HEADLINES UFC FIGHT NIGHT 152

Two of the top-ranked light heavyweight contenders in the entire world are set to square off in the spring, and below are my first thoughts on this pivotal matchup in 205lbs.
Alexander Gustafsson vs. Anthony Smith, UFC Fight Night 152
With both guys coming off of reductions to Jon Jones in their past individual outings, the UFC matchmakers have gone matched up Alexander Gustafsson and Anthony Smith to the main event of UFC Fight Night 152. The card occurs June 1 at Ericsson Globe Arena in Stockholm, Sweden, also this five-round headlining bout was first reported by ESPN’s Brett Okamoto.
At first glance, this is a fight which makes sense with both men needing to rally following their losses to Jones. Gustafsson endured a TKO defeat to Jones at the main event of UFC 232, while Smith lost a lopsided decision to Jones at UFC 235. Together with the UFC needing a main event for its return to Sweden, it obviously made sense for Gustafsson to headline the card, also for Smith it has a chance to acquire another major event fight after decades of being a journeyman in the sport.
At precisely the same time, however, it is very surprising to see Smith get back in the cage so soon and sign up a bout agreement not two weeks after having beat up real good by Jones at UFC 235. Smith didn’t mount much crime in that fight and bore the brunt of 25 minutes of Jones’ strikes, and later said he wanted to take time away to rest and unwind after a busy schedule in 2018 and 2019. Certainly, though, the allure of getting another main event slot against a leading contender like Gustafsson was too much for Smith to maneuver on.
Gustafsson (18-5) is 10-5 overall in the UFC and before the loss to Jones had won back fights over Glover Teixeira and Jan Blachowicz. Always a lady, Gustafsson has been among the top contenders at 205lbs for much of the 2010s but has never been able to acquire the title despite three fractures at itagainst Jones and one against Daniel Cormier. Smith (31-14) is 7-4 overall from the UFC but is 3-1 since moving up to light heavyweight, with wins over Mauricio”Shogun” Rua, Rashad Evans and Volkan Oezdemir winning him a shot Jones. He revealed against Jones that he’s just not on the champ’s degree, but he still remains a very good contender at 205lbs.
As for the opening betting line with this fight, I feel the oddsmakers will set Gustafsson as the favorite here, though I doubt he opens over 2-to-1. Smith has revealed since moving up to light heavyweight he has more knockout power and durability in his new weight class, and I wouldn’t completely count him from this fight. Still, Gustafsson is the more skilled fighter and will of course be fighting in his hometown which should give him an increase. Regardless of who wins, this should be a very exciting matchup between two of the top dogs at the UFC’s light heavyweight division.
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UFC 222 Odds – Frankie Edgar vs. Brian Ortega Betting Guide

Former lightweight winner Frankie Edgar (22-5, 7 KOs, 4 SUBs) will meet undefeated Brian Ortega (13-0, 2 KOs, 7 SUBs) in UFC 222 on Saturday, March 3, 2018 in the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. The card issuers reside on pay-per-view starting 10 p.m. ET after the FS1 prelims. Bet on the latest UFC odds at BookMaker.eu and find the most recent previews, predictions and picks now.
God bless Frankie Edgar. Instead of sitting on the sidelines and waiting patiently for his title shot against Max Holloway – that was probably what 99 percent of fighters could have done – that the former lightweight champ is electing to remain on this Saturday’s UFC 222 card in Las Vegas. Not only is he denying his name shot, but he is meeting possibly the hottest fighter in the division, the undefeated Brian Ortega.
Cruising the messageboards, I have seen a lot of fan love for Edgar for being a”real” fighter. It is hard not to agree, especially when you’ve got men like Tyron Woodley who sat out for a year and a half to receive his chance at the strap. Let’s not forget how much more a fighter stands to create not just in a title fight, but also in sponsorship opportunities as the champion. However, Edgar has always been a competitor, and in his own words, he”was sick of not fighting”.
So we have got one of the branch’s most seasoned scrappers fulfilling one of it is most dangerous BJJ players. How should you bet this battle? Let us take a peek at the UFC odds at BookMaker.eu, break down the matchup and go over your best betting choices.
UFC Odds at BookMaker.eu
Brian Ortega +170
Frankie Edgar -215
Fight goes/doesn’t go to conclusion -230/+170
Odds Analysis
Edgar started as more than a 2-1 favorite, and his money line has hovered across the -200 to -215 range. Ortega can be found anywhere from +150 to +170. Oddsmakers are giving Edgar a whole lot of respect, despite Ortega stealing the show with a beastly win over Cub Swanson in his last outing.
I’d expect a flood of late stakes on Ortega, as his possible is too tantalizing to ignore. It is impossible not to think you are looking at a future champion when you see him struggle. Although Edgar is undoubtedly the best opponent’s he’s faced,”The Answer” can be 36 plus a little past his prime.
Matchup Analysis
There’s an obvious size difference between both. Although Edgar is a former lightweight, he’s a tiny enough 145er that there’s been rumblings of him dropping down to bantamweight. In contrast, Ortega is a huge featherweight who must cut considerable pounds to create the limit. Against Swanson, who’s by no means small, Ortega looked like he had been in a different weight class.
But Frankie’s made a career out of beating larger dudes. His skillset is exceptionally well-rounded, and it starts with topnotch footwork and wrestling. On the feet, Frankie is in perpetual movement, moving in and out, side to side, into range and slipping out while peppering competitions with head-body punching combinations. The guy wouldn’t be out of place inside a squared circle.

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NASCAR at Bristol odds, picks 2019: Model says Kurt Busch surprises at Food City 500

The 2019 Food City 500 occurs on Sunday at legendary Bristol Motor Speedway. The green flag falls at 2 p.m. ET, and each corner counts as a result of tight, steeply-banked trail where death is at a premium. Last week, Denny Hamlin captured his second victory of the 2019 Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series season at Texas Motor Speedway. He’s got a win at Bristol under his belt and is recorded at 14-1 to win in the most current 2019 Food City 500 chances. But, there are six drivers using 2019 NASCAR in Bristol odds better than Hamlin, as Kyle Busch (5-2) is the preferred followed by Kyle Larson (7-1), Brad Keselowski (8-1), Joey Logano (8-1), Ryan Blaney (12-1) and Kevin Harvick (12-1). So before you create your own 2019 Food City 500 choices, see the NASCAR in Bristol predictions in the proven computer version at SportsLine.

Developed by DFS expert and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors such as track history and recent results into account.

The model is off to a strong start in NASCAR this year, calling Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin that a top-four contender from the beginning. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers in the Pennzoil 400, which included putting winner Joey Logano in its projected top . It was all over Kyle Busch as a top contender at the TicketGuardian 500 and four of those motorists in McClure’s top five went on to top-five finishes at the Automobile Club 400. Anyone who has followed its selections is way up.

McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events in iconic places like Bristol Motor Speedway are in his bloodstream. His model simulated the 2019 Food City 500 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

For Sunday, we could tell you that the version is high on Kurt Busch, who makes a strong run at the checkered flag despite heading off as a very long shot 14-1 NASCAR at Bristol odds.

Busch is a six-time winner at Bristol Motor Speedway and his brother, Kyle Busch (seven), has more wins at this track among busy NASCAR drivers. That comes with a victory last August in the NASCAR at Bristol race for his 30th career success in NASCAR’s top series.

The 40-year-old veteran and 2004 series champion fought his way to the front of the pack from the ninth starting position in that race and has also previously come from the 27th and 13th starting positions to succeed at Bristol. He beat Larson by 0.367 seconds last time NASCAR visited Bristol and will start 27th on Sunday. He is off to a hot start this year too, finishing in the top 10 in all but two races. He finished second at the Clash in Daytona and third at Atlanta.

Along with a huge shocker: Ryan Blaney, among the top Vegas favorites in 12-1, does not crack the top five. There are far better worth than the 12-1 premium he is controlling.

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MMA ODDS AND ENDS FOR THURSDAY: UFC BOOKS GAETHJE VS. BARBOZA, BLAYDES VS. WILLIS

A pair of high profile bouts in the UFC lightweight and heavyweight divisions are added to forthcoming struggle cards, and I’ll give my first thoughts on those brand new matchups in the current MMA odds and ends.
Justin Gaethje vs. Edson Barboza, UFC Fight Night 148
An exciting lightweight bout between strikers Justin Gaethje and Edson Barboza is being targeted for UFC Fight Night 148, which takes place March 23 at Bridgestone Arena at Nashville, Tennessee. Farah Hannoun broke the information, although ESPN’s Brett Okamoto reported the struggle may occur at UFC Fight Night 149 another week at Philadelphia. In any event, it appears like this fight is going to happen, which is good news for MMA fans as it pits among the very dangerous and fascinating strikers in the lightweight division against each other.
Gaethje (19-2) is 2-2 so far in the UFC but is now a household name to MMA fans due to his ability to put in an amazing show. He’s already racked up five bonus awards, including three”Fight of the Night” awards and two”Performance of the Night” awards, such as a bonus because of his KO over James Vick last August. He has been more prone to being knocked out at the UFC because he dropped to Dustin Poirier and Eddie Alvarez, but because he showed against Vick and Michael Johnsonhe has unbelievable knockout power himself. Barboza (20-6) is 14-6 overall in the UFC and in his last fight he place on the 2018″Beatdown of the Year” for his barbarous TKO win over Dan Hooker. Barboza is famous for his deadly leg kicks and incredible knockout energy, but such as Gaethje he has been prone to the knockout too.
This looks like an wonderful fight on newspaper, and also the fact it is place for five rounds is just enormous. Both men are terrific fighters and I am anticipating a close betting line. At this point, it looks like near a Pick Celtics struggle, but thinking about how great Barboza appeared in his last fight he may find more assistance from bettors due to recency bias.
Curtis Blaydes vs. Justin Willis, UFC Fight Night 148
A heavyweight matchup involving Curtis Blaydes and Justin Willis can also be place for UFC Fight Night 148. FloCombat’s Nolan King broke the news. Blaydes (10-2, 1 NC) is 5-2, 1 NC in the UFC and in his last fight suffered a brutal knockout loss to Francis Ngannou. He had won four straight fights before that, though, like a TKO over Alistair Overeem, and may easily get back into the heavyweight title talks with another few wins. Willis (8-1) is 4-0 at the UFC and in his last fight picked up the biggest win of his career thus far over Mark Hunt. The problem with Willis has been that he hasn’t shown off considerably finishing ability from the UFC, and his wrestling is very likely to be negated in this matchup against Blaydes. It is heavyweight so that you can’t ever count out anyone, but on paper that seems like Blaydes’ struggle to win and I expect him to be a strong favorite when the chances come out.
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UFC PHILADELPHIA AND UFC RUSSIA SHAPING UP

The UFC was busy announcing bouts for upcoming fight cards in recent weeks, and below are my thoughts on a few of those newly-announced bouts for UFC Philadelphia and UFC Russia.
Josh Emmett vs. Michael Johnson, UFC on ESPN 2 Featherweight contender Josh Emmett will return from a long layoff when he takes on Michael Johnson at UFC on ESPN two, which takes place March 30 in Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. ESPN broke news of this struggle. Emmett (13-2) is 4-2 in the UFC but hasn’t fought because a brutal KO loss to Jeremy Stephens in February 2018. He rocketed up the ranks with a knockout win over Ricardo Lamas but the reduction to Stephens where he broke his nose was a significant setback. Johnson (19-13) is 11-9 at the UFC and is coming from back-to-back decision wins over Andre Fili and Artem Lobov. However, he had lost three consecutive fights before that. Though Johnson is inconsistent, we know how great he is when he is at his best, and with Emmett coming from such a long layoff you need to fade him here and prefer Johnson to win this fight.
Ray Borg vs. Pingyuan Liu, UFC on ESPN 2 Ray Borg will move up to bantamweight when he chooses on Pingyuan Liu in UFC on ESPN 2. The Philly Voice broke news. Borg (11-3) is 5-3 at the UFC but hasn’t fought since a submission loss to Demetrious Johnson in October 2017. He was one of the greatest flyweights in the UFC but will soon probably be moving up to bantamweight now and it’s going to be intriguing to see whether he could make a run in his new weight class. Liu (13-5) is riding a nine-fight win streak including a 2-0 mark at the Octagon with wins over Damian Stasiak and Martin Day. Even though he’s going up to bantamweight, there’s no doubt Borg is going to be a big favorite here just based on his UFC experience and level of competition.
Marcin Tybura vs. Shamil Abdurakhimov, UFC Fight Night 149
Heavyweights Marcin Tybura and Shamil Abdurakhimov will square off UFC Fight Night 149, set for April 20 in Yubileyny Sports Palace at St. Petersburg, Russia. Tybura (17-4) is 4-3 at the UFC and won a decision over Stefan Struve in his final outing. Abdurakhimov (19-4) is 4-2 in the UFC and is coming off of back-to-back wins over Andrei Arlovski and Chase Sherman. It is heavyweight MMA so that you can never be certain of the result, but I believe Tybura is the better fighter and ought to be favored here.
Emil Weber Meek vs. Sultan Aliev, UFC Fight Night 149
Welterweights Emil Weber Meek and Sultan Aliev may even fulfill at UFC Fight Night 149. Meek (9-4, 1 NC) is currently 1-2 at the UFC and is coming from successive declines to Kamaru Usman and Bartosz Fabinski. Aliev (14-3) is 1-2 at the UFC and is coming off of a TKO loss to Warlley Alves. Both guys have been disappointments in the UFC, but Meek usually gets more respect from bettors and that I assume he will be favored here.
Krzysztof Jotko vs. Roman Kopylov, UFC Fight Night 149
And finally, a middleweight bout will see Krzysztof Jotko take on UFC newcomer Roman Kopylov at UFC Fight Night 149. Jotko (19-4) is 6-4 in the UFC but is riding a three-fight losing skid including back-to-back KO declines to Uriah Hall and Brad Tavares. Kopylov (8-0) is making his UFC debut after going undefeated on the Russian regional arena. It is hard to back Jotko after his recent win streak, and I expect the undefeated Kopylov to be the favorite here.
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UFC236 Betting Tips & Plays

View the MMABETMACHINE bets for UFC236 under:

Israel Adesanya Breakdown
Adesanya comes into this fight with plenty of benefits over the much smaller Gastelum, who’s giving up nearly 9 inches of reach. On the feet it’s the technical accumulation strategy of Adesanya which can give him a significant edge. He has a far more varied arsenal with effective leg kicks a powerful option against Kelvin, that will need to remain volatile to have any hope closing the distance that is striking. Defensively Adesanya is sound, rolling with punches rather than committing himself to be exposed to counter shots. He’s a slow starter but turns up the quantity once he’s a stronger feel for his opponent.
Gastelum has fast boxing combinations and has utilized this to score some impressive finishes. The standard of Kelvin’s opposition is questionable with a lot of elderly fighters crumbling after becoming captured by his superior cardio or speed. Gastelum includes a wrestling foundation but has not made that a focus of his UFC run. In this fight the size and takedown defense of Adesanya should signify this stays standing. Kelvin has limited paths to victory outside of landing a flush KO shot and awarded the reach and defense of Adesanya that does seem unlikely.
Since going up to Middleweight Gastelum has managed to be impressive regardless of his height and reach. Weidman revealed us that dimension can be a big factor where the older fighters of this branch were unable to press the advantage. Adesanya should have the ability to control this battle to keep standing, where he is going to have the ability to design on Gastelum from range. Round one could be close but beyond that it’s going to be one way traffic. A late end or comfy decision seem equally likely.Dustin Poirier Breakdown
These guys clash in what ought to be a very competitive fight. Both men favour their striking with Holloway’s volume style taking on Poirier’s technical fundamentals together with surprising power. The people seem to be all over Holloway following his remarkable Ortega win and the bookie has him lined a significant favorite. While his boxing and cardio is unmatched at 145lb, it might be another story here. Poirier hits very hard, with much more energy than anything Max might have undergone in recent times. When there was a weakness Holloway’s match it’s that he takes too many clean shots, and there’s absolutely no reason a crisp one from Poirier can’t end the struggle.
This fight is very likely to start off at Poirier’s favour because he lands the impacting shots and makes use of his reach advantage. Holloway will need to endure until the later rounds in a bid to overwhelm Poirier with his cardio and pace. Dustin is no slouch in this region and is very hard to put himself away. We view this as an early stoppage to get Poirier or close decision headed into the judges. The center rounds will be crucial in deciding the winner. In +180 the value is apparent, back the dangerous fighter that has firmly established himself on top of their toughest division in the game.
Bet = Poirier in 2.80 (+180) odds. Risk 4 Units to win 7.2 Units.
Eryk Anders Breakdown
Rountree is a dangerous striker, equally powerful and fast, although his one dimensional gameplan makes him quite beatable. Of most concern is that his gasoline tank which is quickly depleted as he spams power shots . Furthermore his wrestling and grappling is below average. Rountree is coming from a big KO loss to Johnny Walker.
Anders is quite durable and has a fundamental but harmful striking style himself. The key to victory will be his exceptional pressure as he can blend in takedowns to wear Rountree out, negating his energy. Rountree is stuck at the bottom of the ranks compared to Anders who lately had aggressive match with the title challenger Santos. Look for him to endure some early scares to then implement his wrestling and then take over the struggle beyond round one.
Bet = Anders at 1.54 (-185) odds. Risk 3 Units to acquire 1.62 Units.
Alan Jouban Breakdown
Jouban comes into this fight with far more experience but also a 5??? reach drawback. Grant is 34 decades old and unlikely to make massive strides in his entire game. He does not look very striking with sloppy technique but does have big power to land the kill shot. Jouban’s strength is an issue but he is the much superior fighter. Start looking for him to bring a wise game-plan to this one and utilize his arsenal to outside strike Grant. Jouban has sneaky electricity himself but a decision is also probably. .
Bet = Jouban at 2.0 (+100) chances. Risk 3 Units to win 3.0 Units.
Max Griffin Breakdown
Imadaev is quite unproven and at only 24 years old has been winning against poor opposition in the regional landscape. He looks to be getting a great deal of respect from the chances makers, possibly because of his Russian background. This is a large step upward against Max Griffin who’s a tough UFC veteran. He brings strong boxing and power and can blend in the odd takedown when required. Griffin’s question mark is surely his strength, as he gets rocked in most fights, but he has a fighters mentality for coming back from hardship. Imadaev could be the real deal in which case this is very likely to be an action packed affair. Otherwise search for Griffin to ship up the inexperienced newcomer. At slight underdog odds we enjoy a bet on the more established fighter.

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